The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portuguesa Acarígua 29.6%
Draw 29.2%
Deportivo La Guaira 41.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
29.8%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
29.1%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa Acarígua's form might have worsened.
Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo La Guaira's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa Acarígua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 0.
In recent outings, Portuguesa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Deportivo La Guaira has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Deportivo La Guaira is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Portuguesa has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:17 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Portuguesa against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Portuguesa
11
4
5
2
14:12
2
17
6
La Guaira
11
5
1
5
21:16
5
16
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo La Guaira - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.53%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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