Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday


	Herne Bay		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	1.83
	2.9	3.5	1.98
	3.45	3.65	1.8
	3.57	3.73	1.88
	3.5	3.3	1.85
	3.38	3.68	1.9
	3.4	3.75	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.71)	3.6 ↓ (3.6)	1.87 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herne Bay
26.8%

Draw
25%

Billericay Town
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25.1%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

23.8%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herne Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Herne Bay's form might have worsened.

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Billericay Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Herne Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Billericay Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Herne Bay - Billericay Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Herne Bay will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Billericay will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 12).

The competitors look crappy now.

Herne Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Herne Bay have a series of home games.

Billericay will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Herne Bay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Herne Bay won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.12.22	Herne Bay - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Herne Bay - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Horsham - Herne Bay	4:1 ✺
12.11.22	Herne Bay - Canvey Island	1:4 ✺
08.11.22	Herne Bay - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTLLL
- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.12.22	Margate - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
28.11.22	Carshalton Athletic - Billericay Town	2:0 ✺
26.11.22	Billericay Town - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Billericay Town - Bath City	1:3 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.11.22	Billericay Town - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLL

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