Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 17

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Horsham		Herne Bay

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	5.5
	1.46	4.3	5.2
	1.49	4.69	5.33
	1.62	4	4
	1.44	4.55	5.6
	1.44	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.63)	4.36 ↑ (3.93)	5.19 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
61.5%

Draw
20.9%

Herne Bay
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

22.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

20.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsham's performance.

Herne Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Horsham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Herne Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Horsham - Herne Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Horsham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Herne Bay has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Herne Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Horsham is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Horsham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Horsham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.22	Billericay Town - Horsham	5:3 ✺
05.11.22	Horsham - Potters Bar Town	3:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	2:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.10.22	Hornchurch - Horsham	3:1 ✺
15.10.22	Horsham - Kingstonian	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW
- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.22	Herne Bay - Canvey Island	1:4 ✺
08.11.22	Herne Bay - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
05.11.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Herne Bay	3:2 ✺
29.10.22	Enfield Town - Herne Bay	4:2 ✺
22.10.22	Herne Bay - Hastings United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
16.09.17	Horsham - Herne Bay	2:5

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