Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Herne Bay		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.3
	2.6	3.4	2.18
	2.65	3.65	2.2
	2.69	3.97	2.2
	2.4	3.5	2.4
	2.71	3.58	2.25
	2.75	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.4)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	2.25 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herne Bay
34.5%

Draw
25.2%

Wingate & Finchley
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.5%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herne Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Herne Bay - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Herne Bay has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wingate & Finchley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wingate & Finchley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.22	Herne Bay - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Horsham - Herne Bay	4:1 ✺
12.11.22	Herne Bay - Canvey Island	1:4 ✺
08.11.22	Herne Bay - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
05.11.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Herne Bay	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLL
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.22	Wingate & Finchley - Enfield Town	0:2 ✺
22.11.22	Wingate & Finchley - Corinthian-Casuals	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Cray Wanderers - Wingate & Finchley	0:1 ✺
12.11.22	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	1:2 ✺
05.11.22	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWLL

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