The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UMECIT 37.6%
Draw 32.6%
Independiente de la Chorrera 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
30.5%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
29.8%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UMECIT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Independiente de la Chorrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
UMECIT - Independiente de la Chorrera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Almengor D. (G) 22. Palmezano A. 27. Garcia A. 6. Fuentes J. (C) 62. Casazola M. 14. Ford R. 21. Almanza O. 10. Gomez E. 70. Anderson Gomez N. M. 48. Moran C. 9. Murillo J.
1. Rodriguez A. (C) 74. Reyes R. 13. Negrete G. 27. Morales A. 15. Giron J. 52. Cifuentes A. 8. Ramirez Y. 9. Tejada L. 76. Tull A. 25. Contreras D. 43. Gomez V.
Substitutes
26. Araya J. 3. Delgado J. 17. Edwards A. 30. Hinojosa C. (G) 15. Livingston J. 2. Noville C. 92. Oliveira D. 7. Peralta H. 19. Saldana A. 47. Valderrama B.
40. Aguila R. 5. Angulo Garces K. J. 10. Gonzalez J. 36. Guerra H. 83. Leon G. (G) 85. Lugo J. 67. Marrugo N. 20. McKenzie A. 11. Valverde A. 22. Waterman B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Morales A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Moran C. ↓, Saldana A. ↑,
53', Saldana A. 🟨,
58', Casazola M. ↓, Peralta H. ↑,
62', Palmezano A. 🟨,
64', Peralta H. 🟨,
69', Tull A. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
69', Lugo J. 🟨,
74', Contreras D. ↓, Valverde A. ↑,
75', Gomez V. ↓, Aguila R. ↑,
79', Cifuentes A. ↓, Angulo Garces K. J. ↑,
79', Tejada L. ↓, Waterman B. ↑,
79', Gomez E. ↓, Oliveira D. ↑,
79', Palmezano A. ↓, Valderrama B. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Anderson Gomez N. M. ⚽,
90+4', Hinojosa C. 🟥,
90+5', Fuentes J. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 0, Peralta H. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 1.
UMECIT has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Independiente has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
UMECIT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, UMECIT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Watch
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Almengor D. (G) 
Palmezano A. 
Gomez E. 
Oliveira D. 
Leon G. (G) 
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