Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 1 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Schalke 04		Osnabrück

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.5	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4.65	6.55
	1.53	4.45	6.55
	1.44	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.55	5.7	Watch
	1.52	4.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.85)	4.53 ↑ (3.71)	5.96 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
63.1%

Draw
20.9%

Osnabrück
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

25.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

24.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schalke 04's performance.

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osnabrück might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schalke 04 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osnabrück could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	5.1%	2.6%

Schalke 04 - Osnabrück Predictions

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (36 of 39 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.95% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fahrmann R. (G) 41. Matriciani H. 26. Kalas T. 35. Kaminski M. 5. Murkin D. J. 7. Seguin P. 6. Schallenberg R. 11. Lasme B. 19. Karaman K. 29. Mohr T. 9. Terodde S. (C)	1. Grill L. (G) 4. Gyamfi M. (C) 6. Thalhammer M. 25. Wiemann N. 5. Ajdini B. 26. Gnaase D. 3. Kleinhansl F. 27. Cuisance M. 8. Tesche R. 9. Engelhardt E. 23. Verhoek J.
Substitutes
25. Baumgartl T. 27. Brunner C. 28. Heekeren J. (G) 18. Idrizi B. 14. Kozuki S. 40. Polter S. 10. Tempelmann L. 42. Topp K. 51. Van Der Sloot S.	28. Bahr F. 14. Diakhite O. 18. Kehl L. 22. Kuhn P. (G) 13. Kunze L. 11. Makridis C. 7. Niemann N. 10. Wriedt K. O. 32. Wulff J.
Coaches
Geraerts K.	Koschinat U.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

Recent matches Schalke is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osnabrück has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Schalke have a series of guest games.

In this match Schalke is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Schalke won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
25.11.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Schalke 04	5:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.11.23	PSV Eindhoven - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.11.23	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Nürnberg - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.10.23	St. Pauli - Schalke 04	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLWL
- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
25.11.23	Osnabrück - Magdeburg	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - Osnabrück	3:2 ✺
04.11.23	Osnabrück - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
27.10.23	Greuther Fürth - Osnabrück	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Osnabrück - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.12.22	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	2:2
19.07.15	Osnabrück - Schalke 04	2:3

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