Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9


	Hertha Berlin		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.48	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.64	3.25	2.64	Watch
	2.5	3.62	2.53	Watch
	2.43	3.55	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.35)	3.45 ↓ (3.8)	2.65 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
37.5%

Draw
27.1%

Elversberg
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

25.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

25.1%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	31.6%	26.3%

Hertha Berlin - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Elversberg will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 5 - 50%). Elversberg (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - draw (1.52) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Elversberg (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Elversberg (votes: 6 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernst T. (G) 2. Eitschberger J. 44. Gechter L. 31. Dardai M. 33. Karbownik M. 23. Eichhorn K. 6. Demme D. 14. Krattenmacher M. 10. Cuisance M. 11. Reese F. (C) 17. Gronning S.	20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 2. Mickelson N. 6. Conde A. 8. Poreba L. 9. Stange O. 10. Conte B. 29. Zimmerschied T. 22. Ebnoutalib Y.
Substitutes
28. Dudziak J. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 27. Kolbe N. 37. Leistner T. 18. Schuler L. 30. Seguin P. 8. Sessa K. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D. 22. Winkler M.	28. Boss T. (G) 11. Ceka J. 21. Gunther L. 43. Keidel F. 3. Le Joncour F. 14. Malanga J. 25. Petkov L. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L.
Coaches
Leitl S.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Cuisance M. ⚽, Demme D. (A),
40', Gyamerah J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Stange O. ↓, Petkov L. ↑,
54', Gyamerah J. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Gronning S. ⚽, Dardai M. (A),
63', Conde A. 🟨,
68', Pinckert L. 🟨,
71', Eichhorn K. ↓, Seguin P. ↑,
71', Karbownik M. ↓, Kolbe N. ↑,
71', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
71', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
80', Gronning S. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
80', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Winkler M. ↑,
83', Rohr M. ↓, Le Joncour F. ↑,
86', Demme D. ↓, Thorsteinsson J. D. ↑,
90+3', Pinckert L. 🟥,
90+4', 3 - 0, Thorsteinsson J. D. (Pen),

Preview

Recent performances by Hertha have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elversberg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Hertha Berlin - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.54%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Bochum - Hertha Berlin	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Hertha Berlin - Preußen Münster	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- SV Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Elversberg - Greuther Fürth	6:0 ✺
05.10.25	Magdeburg - Elversberg	0:4 ✺
27.09.25	Elversberg - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Elversberg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
29.08.25	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	0:2
02.03.25	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	4:0
29.09.24	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	1:4
05.05.24	Elversberg - Hertha Berlin	4:2
03.12.23	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	5:1

Upcoming Matches