Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Auestadion (Kassel)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hessen Kassel		Astoria Walldorf

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.55	3
	2.09	3.65	3.24
	2.1	3.52	2.95
	2.07	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.05)	3.56 ↓ (4.08)	3.05 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hessen Kassel
44%

Draw
25.8%

Astoria Walldorf
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

22.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

22.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hessen Kassel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Astoria Walldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astoria Walldorf than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Hessen Kassel - Astoria Walldorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Collmann J. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Collmann J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
85', 1 - 2, Plavcic Z. ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, Carl M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hessen Kassel won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hessen Kassel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hessen Kassel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Hessen Kassel won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hessen Kassel won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Astoria Walldorf - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
01.10.25	Hessen Kassel - Bahlinger	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Freiberg - Hessen Kassel	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Hessen Kassel - Stuttgarter Kickers	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Hessen Kassel - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWT
- Astoria Walldorf
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.09.25	Astoria Walldorf - FSV Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Bahlinger - Astoria Walldorf	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Astoria Walldorf - Schott Mainz	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Astoria Walldorf	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Astoria Walldorf - Freiberg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.03.25	Astoria Walldorf - Hessen Kassel	2:2
07.09.24	Hessen Kassel - Astoria Walldorf	1:4
13.04.24	Hessen Kassel - Astoria Walldorf	1:0
07.10.23	Astoria Walldorf - Hessen Kassel	0:1
08.04.23	Hessen Kassel - Astoria Walldorf	3:0
01.10.22	Astoria Walldorf - Hessen Kassel	0:0
02.04.22	Astoria Walldorf - Hessen Kassel	0:0

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