Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 21

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Hessen Kassel		VfR Aalen

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	2.05	3.6	3.2
	2.1	3.56	3.51
	2.03	3.56	3.51
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.97	3.62	3.38
	2.1	3.45	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.1)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	3.31 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hessen Kassel
46.1%

Draw
26.1%

VfR Aalen
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

24.4%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

VfR Aalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hessen Kassel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VfR Aalen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hessen Kassel - VfR Aalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hessen Kassel won 0.

Recent matches Hessen Kassel is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aalen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aalen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hessen Kassel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hessen Kassel won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hessen Kassel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
25.11.23	Hessen Kassel - TSV Steinbach Haiger	3:2 ✺
17.11.23	Mainz II - Hessen Kassel	4:1 ✺
11.11.23	Hessen Kassel - Balingen	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	TuS Koblenz - Hessen Kassel	1:0 ✺
27.10.23	Hessen Kassel - Kickers Offenbach	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLL
- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.12.23	VfR Aalen - TuS Koblenz	1:3 ✺
24.11.23	Kickers Offenbach - VfR Aalen	1:0 ✺
18.11.23	VfR Aalen - Homburg	1:6 ✺
11.11.23	VfR Aalen - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.08.23	VfR Aalen - Hessen Kassel	1:1
21.03.23	Hessen Kassel - VfR Aalen	1:2
02.09.22	VfR Aalen - Hessen Kassel	3:0
07.05.22	VfR Aalen - Hessen Kassel	0:0
13.11.21	Hessen Kassel - VfR Aalen	1:2
10.04.21	Hessen Kassel - VfR Aalen	1:1
20.10.20	VfR Aalen - Hessen Kassel	1:1

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