Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 17

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	VfR Aalen		Freiberg

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.3
	2.6	3.6	2.4
	2.57	3.53	2.56
	2.55	3.53	2.56
	2.4	3.5	2.38
	2.54	3.6	2.45
	2.6	3.45	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.48)	3.52 ↓ (3.66)	2.44 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VfR Aalen
36.1%

Draw
26.1%

Freiberg
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

24.9%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VfR Aalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Freiberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VfR Aalen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

VfR Aalen - Freiberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 5).

Aalen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Freiberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aalen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfR Aalen
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.11.23	Astoria Walldorf - VfR Aalen	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	VfR Aalen - VfB Stuttgart II	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	FSV Frankfurt - VfR Aalen	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	VfR Aalen - Bahlinger	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Schott Mainz - VfR Aalen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLLW
- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
04.11.23	Freiberg - Stuttgarter Kickers	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Freiberg	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Freiberg - Mainz II	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Hessen Kassel - Freiberg	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Freiberg - TuS Koblenz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.11.22	VfR Aalen - Freiberg	2:1
06.08.22	Freiberg - VfR Aalen	1:2

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