Match Info

Landspokal Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Right to Dream Park (Farum)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hillerød		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	7	5.5	1.3	Watch
	7.5	5.05	1.34	Watch
	8.69	5.37	1.32
	15.23	9.84	1.10	Watch
	7.03	5.53	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.09 ↑ (4.05)	6.26 ↑ (4.45)	1.28 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hillerød
10.5%

Draw
15.2%

AGF Aarhus
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

20.3%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

20.3%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hillerød's form might have worsened.

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AGF Aarhus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hillerød, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Hillerød - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hillerød (2.08) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Hillerød (2.22) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AGF Aarhus will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AGF Aarhus will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Aarhus (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Dithmer A. (G) 3. Allen C. 18. Lauritsen O. 21. Enghardt K. (C) 2. Moller R. 5. Boje-Larsen L. 10. Kallsberg P. 16. Toftegaard H. 34. Alicino A. 22. Jalaei S. 80. Sulemana H.	1. Hansen J. (G) 3. Dalsgaard H. 5. Tingager F. (C) 2. Beijmo F. 29. Carstensen R. 7. Solbakken M. 6. Poulsen N. 11. Links G. 8. Jorgensen S. 15. Badji Y. 10. Arnstad K.
Substitutes
4. Arndal-Lauritzen G. 24. Dedes V. 6. Due Grandt M. 25. Glindtvad W. 17. Justinussen A. 1. Kappenberger A. (G) 15. Kretzschmar N. 19. Lyshoj J. 11. Mouritz M.	31. Bech T. 39. Emmery F. 40. Jensen-Abbew J. 19. Kahl E. 9. Mortensen P. 13. Serra J. 27. Tchamche S. 22. Wahlstedt L. (G) 17. Yakob K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Links G. ⚽, Jorgensen S. (A),
23', Sulemana H. 🟨,
28', Badji Y. 🟨,
31', Enghardt K. ↓, Glindtvad W. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sulemana H. ↓, Kretzschmar N. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Jalaei S. ⚽, Toftegaard H. (A),
61', Badji Y. ↓, Mortensen P. ↑,
61', Poulsen N. ↓, Bech T. ↑,
63', Kallsberg P. ↓, Mouritz M. ↑,
63', Kretzschmar N. ↓, Justinussen A. ↑,
73', Allen C. ↓, Dedes V. ↑,
73', Solbakken M. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
73', Jorgensen S. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
80', Beijmo F. 🟨,
83', Beijmo F. ↓, Kahl E. ↑,
90+2', Glindtvad W. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Tingager F. ⚽, Links G. (A),

Preview

Hillerød is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Aarhus is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hillerød may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aarhus is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
20.09.25	Hvidovre - Hillerød	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Hillerød - Esbjerg	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Kolding IF - Hillerød	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Hillerød - HB Køge	3:1 ✺
19.08.25	Lyngby BK - Hillerød	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWTWW
- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
21.09.25	AGF Aarhus - Brøndby	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	AGF Aarhus - Fredericia	4:1 ✺
24.08.25	AGF Aarhus - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	OB Odense - AGF Aarhus	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

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