Match Info

Superliga - Round 7

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: New Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus)

Referee: Uslu A. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	AGF Aarhus		Fredericia

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6
	1.41	4.85	6.7	Watch
	1.43	5.01	7.24
	1.44	4.79	6.26	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.43	5.03	6.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)	4.74 ↑ (4.58)	6.46 ↑ (6.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
65.7%

Draw
19.8%

Fredericia
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

20.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

AGF Aarhus - Fredericia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Aarhus (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AGF Aarhus will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hansen J. (G) 3. Dalsgaard H. 5. Tingager F. 19. Kahl E. 29. Carstensen R. 6. Poulsen N. 7. Madsen M. 11. Links G. 31. Bech T. 9. Mortensen P. 10. Arnstad K.	42. Green E. (G) 12. Crone S. 4. Kudsk J. 5. Rieper F. 8. Jessen J. 18. Pyndt A. 6. Winther F. 97. Buch O. 7. Marcussen G. 98. Mucolli A. 19. Dall E.
Substitutes
15. Badji Y. 2. Beijmo F. 33. Callo L. 40. Jensen-Abbew J. 8. Jorgensen S. 13. Serra J. 27. Tchamche S. 22. Wahlstedt L. (G) 17. Yakob K.	14. Dahl A. 9. Egelund P. 20. Haarbo D. 22. Huldahl M. 15. Ladefoged M. 1. Lamhauge M. (G) 13. Madsen W. 2. Thogersen D.
Coaches
Poulsen J.	Hansen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Winther F. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Bech T. ⚽, Carstensen R. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Mortensen P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Buch O. ↓, Egelund P. ↑,
58', Dalsgaard H. ↓, Beijmo F. ↑,
67', Crone S. ↓, Dahl A. ↑,
67', Winther F. ↓, Madsen W. ↑,
68', Bech T. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
68', Madsen M. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Carstensen R. ⚽,
77', Marcussen G. ↓, Huldahl M. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Mucolli A. ⚽, Dahl A. (A),
80', Arnstad K. ↓, Callo L. ↑,
80', Carstensen R. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
86', 4 - 1, Beijmo F. (Pen),
90', Pyndt A. ↓, Haarbo D. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Aarhus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aarhus is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J. (Knee Injury) Molgaard T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Aarhus: Badji Y. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Fredericia: Ejeheri O. (Surgery)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
24.08.25	AGF Aarhus - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	OB Odense - AGF Aarhus	1:5 ✺
08.08.25	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	2:3 ✺
03.08.25	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:0 ✺
25.07.25	AGF Aarhus - Randers FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWTL
- FC Fredericia
Danish Superliga
24.08.25	Fredericia - Randers FC	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Fredericia - SønderjyskE	3:2 ✺
10.08.25	Midtjylland - Fredericia	3:3 ✺
01.08.25	Fredericia - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Silkeborg IF - Fredericia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.07.23	Fredericia - AGF Aarhus	0:2
01.12.22	AGF Aarhus - Fredericia	0:1
Danish Landspokal Cup
21.09.17	Fredericia - AGF Aarhus	1:0
Danish 1 Division
14.05.15	AGF Aarhus - Fredericia	0:1
30.11.14	Fredericia - AGF Aarhus	1:2
28.08.14	AGF Aarhus - Fredericia	2:1

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