Match Info

NSW League One - Round 29

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Hills United		Mounties Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.1
	1.6	4.25	3.95
	1.64	4.55	4
	1.61	4.3	4.1
	1.82	3.92	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.82)	4.2 ↑ (4)	3.91 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hills United
55%

Draw
21.7%

Mounties Wanderers
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

22.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hills United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hills United's performance.

Mounties Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hills United than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mounties Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Hills United - Mounties Wanderers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mounties Wanderers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', 0 - 2, ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Hills United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mounties Wanderers has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hills United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hills United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hills United
Australian NSW League One
16.08.25	University of New South Wales - Hills United	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Hills United - Dulwich Hill	4:3 ✺
02.08.25	Bankstown City Lions - Hills United	0:0 ✺
26.07.25	Hills United - Hakoah Sydney City East	5:0 ✺
19.07.25	Rydalmere Lions - Hills United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWL
- Mounties Wanderers
Australian NSW League One
16.08.25	Mounties Wanderers - Blacktown Spartans	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Inter Lions - Mounties Wanderers	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	SD Raiders - Mounties Wanderers	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Bankstown City Lions	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Newcastle Jets U23	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
10.05.25	Mounties Wanderers - Hills United	1:0

Hills United - Mounties Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide