Match Info

NSW League One - Round 28

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Mounties Wanderers		Blacktown Spartans

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	1.9
	3	3.9	1.92
	2.89	4.22	1.98
	4.06	4.06	1.68	Watch
	3.26	3.8	1.89
	4	3.75	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (4.56)	3.91 ↓ (4.2)	1.84 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mounties Wanderers
27.1%

Draw
23.3%

Blacktown Spartans
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

21.6%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

21%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mounties Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mounties Wanderers's performance.

Blacktown Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blacktown Spartans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mounties Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mounties Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blacktown Spartans than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blacktown Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mounties Wanderers - Blacktown Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Relegation: )).

Mounties Wanderers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Blacktown Spartans has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Blacktown Spartans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Blacktown Spartans is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mounties Wanderers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mounties Wanderers
Australian NSW League One
09.08.25	Inter Lions - Mounties Wanderers	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	SD Raiders - Mounties Wanderers	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Bankstown City Lions	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Newcastle Jets U23	1:4 ✺
12.07.25	Macarthur Rams - Mounties Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLL
- Blacktown Spartans
Australian NSW League One
08.08.25	Blacktown Spartans - Macarthur Rams	3:0 ✺
01.08.25	Blacktown Spartans - Inter Lions	1:3 ✺
26.07.25	Northern Tigers - Blacktown Spartans	1:4 ✺
19.07.25	University of New South Wales - Blacktown Spartans	3:0 ✺
11.07.25	Blacktown Spartans - Bankstown City Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
02.05.25	Blacktown Spartans - Mounties Wanderers	2:1

Mounties Wanderers - Blacktown Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide