Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 13

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Hitchin Town		Lowestoft Town

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.6	2.15
	2.75	3.65	2.17
	2.79	3.79	2.16
	2.82	3.86	2.21
	2.81	3.62	2.14
	2.75	3.65	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.55)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
33.2%

Draw
24.7%

Lowestoft Town
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

24%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

23.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lowestoft Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lowestoft Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Hitchin Town - Lowestoft Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
3', 1 - 0, Ekongo E. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Sayer H. ⚽,
29', 1 - 2, Sayer H. ⚽,
40', 1 - 3, Barbrook H. ⚽,
45', 2 - 3, Deall R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 2 - 4, Sayer H. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 5, Haddoch B. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.5:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
19.10.24	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:5 ✺
15.10.24	Hitchin Town - Leiston	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Hitchin Town - Spalding United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Hashtag United - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Royston Town - Hitchin Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWLT
- Lowestoft Town
English Southern League Central Division
19.10.24	Stratford Town - Lowestoft Town	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Lowestoft Town - Bishops Stortford	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.10.24	Lowestoft Town - Haringey Borough	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Lowestoft Town - Royston Town	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Haringey Borough - Lowestoft Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
02.04.22	Hitchin Town - Lowestoft Town	3:2
16.11.21	Lowestoft Town - Hitchin Town	2:2
14.03.20	Lowestoft Town - Hitchin Town	Canceled
02.12.19	Hitchin Town - Lowestoft Town	1:3
13.04.19	Hitchin Town - Lowestoft Town	1:3
18.08.18	Lowestoft Town - Hitchin Town	3:2

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