Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 9

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday


	Royston Town		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.8	4.1
	1.61	3.9	4.5
	1.71	4.12	4.09
	1.74	3.9	4.28	Watch
	1.68	3.74	4.26
	1.61	3.9	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)	3.89 ↑ (3.78)	4.29 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royston Town
55.1%

Draw
23.5%

Hitchin Town
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

24.4%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

23.7%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royston Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Royston Town - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Brighton J. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Murray A. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Wilson C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 2 - 2, Wilson C. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Royston won 3.

Recent matches Royston is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hitchin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hitchin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Royston is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Royston won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Royston won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.09.24	Royston Town - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Aveley - Royston Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
10.09.24	Lowestoft Town - Royston Town	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Royston Town - Kettering Town	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Leiston - Royston Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWL
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.09.24	Halesowen Town - Hitchin Town	0:3 ✺
10.09.24	Hitchin Town - Bishops Stortford	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Hitchin Town - Alvechurch	0:1 ✺
26.08.24	Barwell - Hitchin Town	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Hitchin Town - Kettering Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.12.23	Royston Town - Hitchin Town	1:0
28.08.23	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	1:2
08.04.23	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	1:0
19.11.22	Royston Town - Hitchin Town	4:2
27.12.21	Royston Town - Hitchin Town	0:1
30.08.21	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	0:2
26.10.20	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	0:2

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