Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 11

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Hitchin Town		Leiston

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.2
	2.75	3.55	2.21
	2.76	3.66	2.21
	2.82	3.73	2.26	Watch
	2.78	3.46	2.22
	2.75	3.55	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.63)	3.58 ↑ (3.54)	2.22 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
33.3%

Draw
25.5%

Leiston
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

25.5%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

23.8%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Hitchin Town - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 0, Wilson C. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Loza J. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 0.

Recent matches Hitchin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leiston is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leiston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:20 (average 1.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
12.10.24	Hitchin Town - Spalding United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Hashtag United - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Royston Town - Hitchin Town	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Halesowen Town - Hitchin Town	0:3 ✺
10.09.24	Hitchin Town - Bishops Stortford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLTWL
- Leiston
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Leiston - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:5 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Leiston - Horsham	1:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Hornchurch - Leiston	1:3 ET ✺
28.09.24	Leiston - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Bedford Town - Leiston	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.04.24	Leiston - Hitchin Town	2:0
11.12.23	Hitchin Town - Leiston	1:4
25.02.23	Leiston - Hitchin Town	0:0
10.10.22	Hitchin Town - Leiston	0:3
05.03.22	Leiston - Hitchin Town	2:1
08.11.21	Hitchin Town - Leiston	4:1
10.10.20	Hitchin Town - Leiston	2:2

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