Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 39

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Sudbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.3
	2.46	3.8	2.32
	2.57	3.97	2.36
	2.51	3.5	2.35
	2.46	3.8	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.33)	3.73 ↑ (3.43)	2.33 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
36.6%

Draw
24.3%

Sudbury Town
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.4%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sudbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Hitchin Town - Sudbury Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Bradley B. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Hitchin is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sudbury is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Hitchin Town - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.87%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
05.04.25	Kettering Town - Hitchin Town	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Hitchin Town - Royston Town	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Spalding United - Hitchin Town	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Hitchin Town - Halesowen Town	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Bishops Stortford - Hitchin Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTLLL
- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
05.04.25	Sudbury Town - Stourbridge	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	St Ives Town - Sudbury Town	1:3 ✺
25.03.25	Alvechurch - Sudbury Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Sudbury Town - Redditch United	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	AFC Telford United - Sudbury Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
14.12.24	Sudbury Town - Hitchin Town	1:1
02.03.24	Sudbury Town - Hitchin Town	1:0
28.10.23	Hitchin Town - Sudbury Town	2:1

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