Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Sudbury Town		Stourbridge

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.65	1.8
	3.66	3.89	1.78
	3.66	4.01	1.83	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.75
	3.85	3.75	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.39)	3.76 ↓ (3.86)	1.78 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sudbury Town
24.7%

Draw
24.2%

Stourbridge
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

23.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

22.3%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sudbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Stourbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Sudbury Town - Stourbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Pavey C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 2, Pavey C. ⚽,
57', 0 - 3, Verma J. ⚽,
75', 0 - 4, Pavey C. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Sudbury is Relegated to

Recent form of Sudbury has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stourbridge's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stourbridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stourbridge has had a series of home games.

In this match, Stourbridge is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sudbury won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Stourbridge: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Stourbridge	9	2	4	3	9:12	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sudbury Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.04.26	Banbury United - Sudbury Town	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Sudbury Town - Needham Market	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Quorn - Sudbury Town	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Sudbury Town - Alvechurch	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Barwell - Sudbury Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLLW
- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
15.04.26	Stourbridge - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Stourbridge - Bishops Stortford	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Stourbridge - Alvechurch	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Spalding United - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Stourbridge - St Ives Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
06.12.25	Stourbridge - Sudbury Town	2:3
05.04.25	Sudbury Town - Stourbridge	3:0
24.08.24	Stourbridge - Sudbury Town	2:0
23.03.24	Stourbridge - Sudbury Town	1:1
25.11.23	Sudbury Town - Stourbridge	1:2

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