Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Holstein Kiel		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.88	Watch
	2.3	3.45	2.82	Watch
	2.38	3.62	3.01
	2.34	3.57	2.86	Watch
	2.34	3.55	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.34)	3.53 ↓ (3.57)	2.92 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
40.8%

Draw
26.8%

Hertha Berlin
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Hertha will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Holstein Kiel (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Holstein Kiel (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 2 - 40%). Hertha (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Krumrey J. (G) 23. Rosenboom L. 6. Ivezic M. 3. Komenda M. 47. Tolkin J. 24. Knudsen M. 15. Davidsen K. 11. Bernhardsson A. 10. Therkelsen J. 20. Kapralik A. 19. Harres P.	1. Ernst T. (G) 42. Zeefuik D. 44. Gechter L. 31. Dardai M. 33. Karbownik M. 23. Eichhorn K. 30. Seguin P. 11. Reese F. 10. Cuisance M. 22. Winkler M. 18. Schuler L.
Substitutes
17. Cvjetinovic M. 45. Koster L. 25. Muller M. 48. Muqaj H. 13. Nekic I. 29. Niehoff N. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 1. Weiner T. (G)	2. Eitschberger J. 35. Gersbeck M. (G) 17. Gronning S. 27. Kolbe N. 9. Kownacki D. 14. Krattenmacher M. 37. Leistner T. 8. Sessa K. 24. Thorsteinsson J. D.
Coaches
Rapp M.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Eichhorn K. 🟨,
45+2', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Kapralik A. 🟨,
61', Gechter L. 🟨,
62', Schuler L. 🟨,
65', Schuler L. ↓, Kownacki D. ↑,
74', Tolkin J. ↓, Nekic I. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Kownacki D. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
76', Komenda M. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
77', Cuisance M. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
77', Karbownik M. ↓, Kolbe N. ↑,
85', Davidsen K. 🟨,
85', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
85', Davidsen K. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
86', Eichhorn K. ↓, Leistner T. ↑,
87', Reese F. ↓, Sessa K. ↑,
90+1', Kownacki D. 🟨,
90+5', Ernst T. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).

In recent matches, Holstein Kiel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hertha is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hertha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hertha has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury) Skrzybski S. (Heel Injury) Zec D. (Red Card)

There will not play in Hertha: Brooks J. (Ankle Injury) Goller T. (Shoulder Injury) Jensen L. (Injury) Kownacki D. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Hertha Berlin - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33.08%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.25	Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Silkeborg IF	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Wolfsburg - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWLW
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
21.11.25	Hertha Berlin - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Kaiserslautern - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Hertha Berlin - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	3:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.03.24	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	2:2
24.09.23	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	2:3
Club Friendly
21.03.19	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	1:3

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