Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	20:30	Fast Sports
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	13:30	Disney+
Colombia	11:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	18:30	Arena 4
Iceland	16:30	Viaplay
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	11:30	Disney+
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	17:30	DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Saudi Arabia	19:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	00:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	18:30	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV3
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+
International	16:30	OneFootball TV


	Holstein Kiel		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.80	2.10	Watch
	2.90	3.75	2.20
	2.80	3.85	2.23	Watch
	3.07	4.00	2.22
	2.64	3.95	2.38	Watch
	3.05	3.95	2.19
	3.06	3.87	2.14	Watch
	2.90	3.80	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.48)	3.87 ↑ (3.75)	2.21 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
32.4%

Draw
24.5%

Hertha Berlin
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Holstein Kiel's form might have worsened.

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hertha Berlin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Hertha will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 82% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hertha (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Hertha Berlin (2.35) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (G) 32. Sekine H. 5. Madsen N. 4. Schonlau S. 40. Parduzi L. 20. Kapralik A. 8. Balzi G. 28. Meffert J. (C) 43. Wiese T. 10. Therkelsen J. 19. Harres P.	35. Gersbeck M. (G) 2. Eitschberger J. 44. Gechter L. 27. Kolbe N. 42. Zeefuik D. 30. Seguin P. 8. Sessa K. 19. Adewumi O. 23. Thorsteinsson J. 7. Brekalo J. (C) 17. Gronning S.
Substitutes
17. Alidou F. 11. de Regt G. 9. Kvilitaia G. 13. Nekic I. 44. Richter Monserrat M. 41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 47. Tolkin J. 27. Ugoh I. 26. Zec D.	20. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 43. Goller T. (G) 33. Gouram S. 13. Heide K. (G) 41. Klemens P. 28. Ndi J. 22. Pedersen M. 18. Schuler L. 47. Telib S.
Coaches
Walter T.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Zeefuik D. 🟨,
38', Schonlau S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Schonlau S. ↓, Zec D. ↑,
64', Balzi G. ↓, de Regt G. ↑,
64', Wiese T. ↓, Ugoh I. ↑,
68', Zec D. 🟨,
69', Eitschberger J. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
69', Gronning S. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
76', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↑,
81', Therkelsen J. ↓, Kvilitaia G. ↑,
82', Kapralik A. ↓, Richter Monserrat M. ↑,
89', Adewumi O. ↓, Gouram S. ↑,
90', Seguin P. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation - 3. Liga and 1st in the Promotion - Bundesliga).

In recent outings, Holstein Kiel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hertha is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Holstein Kiel: Abe T. (Back Injury) Davidsen K. (Muscle Injury) Kelati A. (Muscle Injury) Muqaj H. (Knee Injury) Rosenboom L. (Knee Injury) Roslyng F. (Knee Injury) Skrzybski S. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Hertha: Dardai M. (Groin Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Holstein Kiel has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Holstein Kiel against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	9	8	1	0	20:8	12	25
13	Holstein Kiel	9	1	5	3	10:11	-1	8

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hertha Berlin: 37.98% Holstein Kiel: 0.68%

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Hertha Berlin - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
09.10.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Holstein Kiel - Viborg	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLT
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
11.10.26	Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Augsburg - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Dynamo Dresden - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Osnabrück - Hertha Berlin	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.04.26	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	0:1
29.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	0:1
01.03.24	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	2:2
24.09.23	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	2:3
Club Friendly
21.03.19	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	1:3

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