Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 21

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Holstein Kiel II		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.44
	2.16	3.86	2.75
	2.51	3.71	2.38
	2.42	3.54	2.42
	2.45	3.4	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.52)	3.58 ↓ (3.59)	2.49 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel II
38%

Draw
25.4%

Lübeck
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

25.6%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.5%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Holstein Kiel II - Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, Sommer L. ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, Hack P. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 1.

Holstein Kiel II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lübeck is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lübeck could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lübeck have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:23 (average 0.8:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:10 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
08.12.24	Holstein Kiel II - TSV Havelse	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Bremer SV - Holstein Kiel II	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Holstein Kiel II - Drochtersen Assel	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Holstein Kiel II - SC Weiche-08	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Meppen - Holstein Kiel II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Vfb Lübeck
German Regionalliga North
10.11.24	Todesfelde - Lübeck	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Werder Bremen II - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	St. Pauli II - Lübeck	1:3 ✺
26.10.24	Lübeck - Oldenburg	1:1 ✺
18.10.24	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Lübeck	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
17.08.24	Lübeck - Holstein Kiel II	2:2
17.02.23	Holstein Kiel II - Lübeck	1:4
28.08.22	Lübeck - Holstein Kiel II	2:1
17.12.21	Lübeck - Holstein Kiel II	2:0
01.09.21	Holstein Kiel II - Lübeck	1:0
22.02.20	Lübeck - Holstein Kiel II	4:0
15.12.19	Holstein Kiel II - Lübeck	0:5

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