Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 22

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Holstein Kiel II		TSV Havelse

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.71
	3.65	3.85	1.83
	3.72	4.32	1.79
	3.69	4.2	1.73	Watch
	3.7	3.75	1.8
	3.76	3.68	1.78
	3.75	3.9	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (4.35)	3.91 ↓ (4.19)	1.78 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel II
24.7%

Draw
23.5%

TSV Havelse
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

22.1%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

21.7%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

TSV Havelse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Havelse than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSV Havelse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holstein Kiel II - TSV Havelse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Breitenbucher N. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 2.

Holstein Kiel II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Havelse is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Havelse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Havelse is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
17.11.24	Bremer SV - Holstein Kiel II	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Holstein Kiel II - Drochtersen Assel	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Holstein Kiel II - SC Weiche-08	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Meppen - Holstein Kiel II	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Hamburger II - Holstein Kiel II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- TSV Havelse
German Regionalliga North
30.11.24	TSV Havelse - Hamburger II	6:1 ✺
17.11.24	TSV Havelse - Todesfelde	3:0 ✺
08.11.24	Werder Bremen II - TSV Havelse	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Oldenburg - TSV Havelse	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	TSV Havelse - Blau-Weiß Lohne	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
21.08.24	TSV Havelse - Holstein Kiel II	1:0
26.11.23	Holstein Kiel II - TSV Havelse	1:3
30.07.23	TSV Havelse - Holstein Kiel II	1:2
25.02.23	TSV Havelse - Holstein Kiel II	2:0
31.08.22	Holstein Kiel II - TSV Havelse	3:1
13.10.19	Holstein Kiel II - TSV Havelse	0:0
24.02.19	Holstein Kiel II - TSV Havelse	0:1

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