Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 25

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Llanidloes Town		Holyhead Hotspur

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.28	3.17
	2	3.4	3.34
	1.97	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.88)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	3.25 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanidloes Town
45.8%

Draw
26.7%

Holyhead Hotspur
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

26.5%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.9%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanidloes Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Holyhead Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanidloes Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Llanidloes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Holyhead is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llanidloes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Llanidloes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Llanidloes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Llanidloes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanidloes Town
Welsh Cymru North
11.02.23	Llandudno - Llanidloes Town	4:0 ✺
28.01.23	Llanidloes Town - Holywell Town	0:3 ✺
21.01.23	Conwy Borough - Llanidloes Town	0:0 ✺
07.01.23	Llanidloes Town - Druids	1:2 ✺
02.01.23	Buckley Town - Llanidloes Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
11.02.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Gresford Athletic	0:2 ✺
04.02.23	Gresford Athletic - Holyhead Hotspur	1:3 ✺
28.01.23	Penrhyncoch - Holyhead Hotspur	2:1 ✺
24.01.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Llandudno	0:4 ✺
20.01.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Porthmadog	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
29.08.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Llanidloes Town	2:1
26.03.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Llanidloes Town	2:1
23.10.21	Llanidloes Town - Holyhead Hotspur	1:1

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