Match Info

Cymru North - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Holyhead Hotspur		Ruthin Town

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.8	3.5
	1.76	3.99	3.71
	1.38	5.15	6.40	Watch
	1.82	4.06	3.64
	2.22	3.65	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.22)	4.13 ↑ (3.65)	3.98 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holyhead Hotspur
53.1%

Draw
23%

Ruthin Town
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

24.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holyhead Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holyhead Hotspur's performance.

Ruthin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ruthin Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holyhead Hotspur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ruthin Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holyhead Hotspur - Ruthin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 1 - 0, Meek L. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Nash J. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Giblin J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 3, Forbes D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 13).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Holyhead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Holyhead won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Holyhead won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
27.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Caersws	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	5:5 ✺
06.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Rhyl - Holyhead Hotspur	4:3 ✺
22.08.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Holywell Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTLL
- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
04.10.25	Ruthin Town - Guilsfield	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Flint Mountain - Ruthin Town	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Ruthin Town - Llandudno	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Ruthin Town - Rhyl	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Holywell Town - Ruthin Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
17.12.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Ruthin Town	1:2
05.11.22	Ruthin Town - Holyhead Hotspur	2:0
02.04.22	Ruthin Town - Holyhead Hotspur	5:0
11.09.21	Holyhead Hotspur - Ruthin Town	0:1

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