Match Info

Cymru North - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Ruthin Town		Guilsfield

	1	X	2
	4.25	4.15	1.58
	4.35	4.27	1.6
	3.78	3.22	2.00	Watch
	4.55	4.2	1.56
	4.2	4.1	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↑ (3.87)	3.99 ↓ (4.15)	1.66 (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruthin Town
21.7%

Draw
23%

Guilsfield
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

21.9%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

21.7%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruthin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Guilsfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Guilsfield aligns with the current prediction.

Ruthin Town - Guilsfield Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Flory S. ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Cox D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruthin Town won 1.

Recent form of Ruthin Town has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guilsfield is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Guilsfield is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ruthin Town won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ruthin Town won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
27.09.25	Flint Mountain - Ruthin Town	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Ruthin Town - Llandudno	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Ruthin Town - Rhyl	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Holywell Town - Ruthin Town	5:1 ✺
20.08.25	Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTLW
- Guilsfield FC
Welsh Cymru North
27.09.25	Guilsfield - Brickfield Rangers	4:1 ✺
12.09.25	Penrhyncoch - Guilsfield	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Guilsfield - Airbus UK Broughton	1:4 ✺
25.08.25	Mold Alexandra - Guilsfield	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Buckley Town - Guilsfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
26.10.24	Ruthin Town - Guilsfield	2:0
26.08.24	Guilsfield - Ruthin Town	3:1
20.01.24	Guilsfield - Ruthin Town	2:1
06.10.23	Ruthin Town - Guilsfield	1:2
10.04.23	Guilsfield - Ruthin Town	3:0
19.08.22	Ruthin Town - Guilsfield	0:1
Welsh League Cup
06.08.22	Guilsfield - Ruthin Town	0:1

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