Match Info

Cymru North - Round 24

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Holywell Town		Denbigh Town

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.95	6.5
	1.34	5.49	6.43
	1.34	5.38	7.19	Watch
	1.3	4.8	6.5
	1.4	5.04	6.37
	1.29	4.75	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)	5.07 ↓ (5.7)	6.54 ↓ (7.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holywell Town
68.2%

Draw
17.9%

Denbigh Town
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

16.3%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2%

15.3%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holywell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Denbigh Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holywell Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denbigh Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Holywell Town - Denbigh Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Edwards R. ⚽,
4', 2 - 0, Cooke J. ⚽,
7', 3 - 0, Lindfield C. ⚽,
40', 4 - 0, Cooke J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 5 - 0, Breese J. ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 1, Vaughan A. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holywell Town won 4.

Holywell Town is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Denbigh Town has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Holywell Town is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Holywell Town won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Holywell Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Denbigh	10	2	1	7	18:23	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
20.02.26	Buckley Town - Holywell Town	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Holywell Town	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Holywell Town - Mold Alexandra	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ruthin Town - Holywell Town	3:3 ✺
01.01.26	Holywell Town - Holyhead Hotspur	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWTW
- Denbigh Town
Welsh Cymru North
20.02.26	Llandudno - Denbigh Town	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Mold Alexandra - Denbigh Town	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Flint Mountain - Denbigh Town	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Denbigh Town - Newtown	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Denbigh Town - Guilsfield	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
08.08.25	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	1:2
04.01.25	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	2:4
28.09.24	Holywell Town - Denbigh Town	0:2
16.03.24	Holywell Town - Denbigh Town	3:0
18.08.23	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	1:5
Welsh Cymru Alliance
09.04.19	Denbigh Town - Holywell Town	1:3
21.09.18	Holywell Town - Denbigh Town	1:3

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