Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Humberto Micheletti (El Progreso) 🌤️ ...


	Honduras Progreso		Victoria La Ceiba

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.45
	2.57	2.81	2.43
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	2.64	3.15	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.9)	2.95 ↓ (3.16)	2.48 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honduras Progreso
33.4%

Draw
30.4%

Victoria La Ceiba
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.2%

28.6%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

28.1%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honduras Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Honduras Progreso's performance.

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoria La Ceiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Honduras Progreso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Victoria La Ceiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Honduras Progreso will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Victoria La Ceiba will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Honduras Progreso: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 2.

Honduras Progreso has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Victoria La Ceiba is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Victoria La Ceiba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Victoria La Ceiba is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Honduras Progreso won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.02.23	CD Marathón - Honduras Progreso	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Olancho - Honduras Progreso	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Honduras Progreso - Real España	1:3 ✺
01.02.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Honduras Progreso	3:2 ✺
28.01.23	Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.02.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Vida	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
01.02.23	Lobos UPNFM - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
19.10.22	Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba	2:2
21.08.22	Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso	2:1
13.04.22	Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso	2:2
03.03.22	Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1
22.09.21	Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso	1:2
21.08.21	Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba	2:0
06.04.16	Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso	1:4

Honduras Progreso - Victoria La Ceiba