Match Info

HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ceibeño (La Ceiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Victoria La Ceiba		Real Sociedad Tocoa

	1	X	2
	1.84	3.5	3.7
	1.84	3.45	4.18
	1.85	3.56	4.11	Watch
	1.76	3.58	3.97
	1.84	3.5	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.77)	3.52 ↓ (3.7)	3.93 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria La Ceiba
50.4%

Draw
26.2%

Real Sociedad Tocoa
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.3%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Real Sociedad Tocoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Salazar A. (G) 4. Oliva E. 18. Rodriguez D. 24. Silva F. 5. Banegas A. 10. Franco L. 20. Espinal M. 27. Quaye W. 9. Delgadillo D. 12. Perez J. 17. Bernardez C.	1. Roa A. (G) 2. Martinez D. 16. Jones A. 34. Ramos J. 32. Monico D. 6. Martinez A. N. 12. Flores M. 15. Dominguez J. 9. Martinez G. 13. Felix B. 11. Martinez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Delgadillo D. ⚽,
43', Bernardez C. ↓, Aranda H. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Perez J. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
46', Felix B. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
46', Dominguez J. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
46', Martinez R. ↓, Reyes D. ↑,
61', Rodriguez D. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
62', Silva F. 🟨,
68', Oliva E. 🟨,
72', Jones A. ↓, Enamorado N. ↑,
73', Ramos J. 🟨,
76', Sanchez E. 🟨,
77', Delgadillo D. ↓, Abbott K. ↑,
77', Franco L. ↓, Beckeles B. ↑,
90', Martinez A. N. ↓, Turner B. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Victoria La Ceiba won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Real Sociedad Tocoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Victoria La Ceiba is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Victoria La Ceiba won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:19 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Victoria La Ceiba won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.02.25	Real España - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Juticalpa	0:1 ✺
03.02.25	Lobos UPNFM - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1 ✺
30.01.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTLTW
- Real Sociedad Tocoa
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.02.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Génesis PN - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:4 ✺
02.02.25	CD Marathón - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Olancho	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
07.11.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:3
31.08.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0
10.03.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0
21.01.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Victoria La Ceiba	3:2
19.10.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	0:0
20.08.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0
09.04.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Victoria La Ceiba	3:0

Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide