The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eastern District 39%
Draw 26.7%
Southern District 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
26.8%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
26.2%
45.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eastern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eastern District's performance.
Southern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southern District might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern District than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastern District that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern District than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southern District could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
Eastern District - Southern District Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Eastern District will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Southern District will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Eastern District: 29% โ 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastern District (votes: 3 - 60%). Southern District (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Paulo Cesar (G) 4. Bruno Bianconi 15. Bruno Luiz 11. Chang H. M. 26. Chan Y. 10. Gu Bin 5. Helio (C) 16. Kwok T. B. 9. Leo 13. Razeek A. 47. Takatori S.
1. Ng W. H. (G) 10. Acosta J. L. 2. Chan Y. T. 19. Ichikawa S. 4. Kawase K. 12. Lai K. 8. Lee Ka-Yiu 22. Marcus Vinicius 80. Murilo 11. Sasaki S. (C) 6. Shin Il-Soo
Substitutes
54. Chan Yin-Hei 77. Ho K. 18. Kuach Yuel V. 88. Kwok H. 12. Lam C. 21. Leung Y. 31. Li Y. (G) 17. Manzoki C. 44. Wong C. 3. Wong C. S. 14. Yeung Cheuk-Kwan 72. Yoong K.
16. Chak Ting-Fung 26. Chan H. P. 13. Chan K. (G) 28. Chen Ngo-Hin 79. Lucas Emmanuel 18. Mahama A. 31. Ngan N. S. (G) 7. Stefan 20. Yau C. 23. Yung H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Bruno Luiz 🟨,
40', Chan Y. ↓, Leung Y. ↑,
43', Kwok T. B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chang H. M. ↓, Kuach Yuel V. ↑,
59', Leo ↓, Ho K. ↑,
59', Razeek A. ↓, Manzoki C. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Ichikawa S. ⚽,
74', Murilo ↓, Lucas Emmanuel ↑,
84', Ichikawa S. ↓, Mahama A. ↑,
84', Chan Y. T. ↓, Chak Ting-Fung ↑,
85', Kwok T. B. ↓, Yeung Cheuk-Kwan ↑,
88', Acosta J. L. 🟨,
88', Acosta J. L. ↓, Yung H. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 9).
Recent performances by Eastern District have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Southern District has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Southern District may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eastern District won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Hong-kong
Watch
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Paulo Cesar (G) 
Bruno Bianconi 
Gu Bin 
Razeek A. 
Takatori S. 
Acosta J. L. 
Shin Il-Soo 
Kuach Yuel V. 
Manzoki C. 
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