Match Info

FA Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Hong Kong Football Club Stadium (Hongkong)


	Hong Kong FC		North District

	1	X	2
	9.8	6.7	1.16
	11.17	6.82	1.15
	12.40	5.86	1.20	Watch
	13	6	1.17
	10.1	7.29	1.2
	9	5.5	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.91 ↑ (9)	6.36 ↑ (5.5)	1.19 ↓ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hong Kong FC
8.4%

Draw
14.4%

North District
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.2%

16.6%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hong Kong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

North District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Hong Kong FC - North District Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Shlyakotin O. (G) 20. Chan P. 6. Cheng Chun-Wang R. (C) 4. Down T. P. 18. Inoue T. 21. Kang H. 7. Khan N. 11. Kranick A. 75. Mirwasser W. 16. Montesinos L. 35. Moreira H.	63. Li H. D. (G) 22. Arboleda Y. 20. Kayke David 29. Khan J. 9. Lo Kong-Wai (C) 4. Mitrovic A. 70. Samuel Granada 32. Villalobos E. 11. Weverton Gudula 3. Wong Chun-Ho 15. Wong H.
Substitutes
3. Bloxham C. 77. Chan M. 22. Ho Chun J. 28. Lai H. 39. Lau B. (G) 12. Law C. 2. Lee C. 26. Ma C. 67. McGunnigle C. 25. Wong Tsz-Chung (G)	18. Dai T. M. 14. Ho C. J. 10. Law Hiu-Chung 12. Li C. 30. Navarro F. 99. Ng C. (G) 88. Pang Ching-Yeung J. 2. Singh B. K. 19. Tong C. (G) 6. Tsang C. 73. Wong W. 7. Yuen Sai-Kit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Samuel Granada ⚽,
32', Montesinos L. 🟨,
33', Khan N. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Samuel Granada ⚽,
45+3', Inoue T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 3, Lo Kong-Wai ⚽,
53', Khan N. ↓, Chan M. ↑,
53', Kang H. ↓, McGunnigle C. ↑,
62', 1 - 3, Kranick A. ⚽,
75', Villalobos E. 🟨,
78', Chan M. 🟨,
83', Chan P. ↓, Lee C. ↑,
87', Lo Kong-Wai ↓, Yuen Sai-Kit ↑,
87', Weverton Gudula ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
90+5', Kayke David ↓, Dai T. M. ↑,
90+5', Wong Chun-Ho ↓, Tsang C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HKFC won 1.

HKFC is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

North District has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

North District may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, HKFC has had a series of away games.

In this match, North District is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, HKFC won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, HKFC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hong Kong FC - the odds 9 are the expected chance of winning is 10.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hong Kong FC
Hong Kong Premier League
01.03.26	Kitchee - Hong Kong FC	5:2 ✺
22.02.26	Southern District - Hong Kong FC	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong FC	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Hong Kong Rangers - Hong Kong FC	5:2 ✺
18.01.26	Hong Kong FC - Eastern District	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- North District FC
Hong Kong Premier League
01.03.26	North District - Eastern District	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	North District - Eastern AA	0:3 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
07.02.26	North District - Wofoo Tai Po	2:3 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
28.01.26	Eastern AA - North District	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Eastern District - North District	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
05.10.25	Hong Kong FC - North District	0:3
31.08.25	North District - Hong Kong FC	2:1
13.04.25	North District - Hong Kong FC	3:1
15.03.25	North District - Hong Kong FC	2:1
03.11.24	Hong Kong FC - North District	2:0
Hong Kong Sapling Cup
13.10.24	Hong Kong FC - North District	1:3
Hong Kong Premier League
12.05.24	Hong Kong FC - North District	1:0

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