What is the expert prediction for Honka vs Tobol Kostanay?

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Honka vs Tobol Kostanay Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, July 20, 2023)

Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Myyrmaen jalkapallostadion (Vantaa)

Referee: Lukic L. (Srb)


	Honka		Tobol Kostanay

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.32	3.05	3.05
	2.45	3.05	2.8
	2.46	3.09	2.88
	2.45	3.28	2.88
	2.6	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	2.83 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka
38%

Draw
29.3%

Tobol Kostanay
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.2%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	33.3%	26.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Honka will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Tobol will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Honka: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudakov M. (G) 20. Rale M. 21. Koski V. 23. Hernandez A. 47. Aijala E. 11. Krebs F. 7. Bauque C. 32. Ortiz L. 13. Eremenko R. 10. Kaufmann L. (C) 9. Alegria J.	23. Konovalov I. (G) 24. Kairov B. 4. Rogac I. 30. Mladjovic B. 3. Asrankulov R. 14. Zharynbetov S. 10. Muzhikov S. (C) 11. Chesnokov I. 20. Orazov R. 21. Vukadinovic M. 8. Deble S.
Substitutes
15. Arko-Mensah E. 4. Baak F. 24. Banahene N. 88. Koskinen O. 17. Laine L. 16. Muzinga J. 26. Naamo D. 12. Paunio R. (G) 14. Saarikivi N. 60. Tanska J. (G) 48. Ulundu V.	88. Akmurzin T. (G) 12. Busurmanov S. (G) 15. Gabaraev A. 51. Galym B. 6. Ilic J. 18. Kireenko P. 19. Mrkaic M. 5. Semchenkov D. 99. Suljic A. 13. Zabelin P. 17. Zhakupov T. 7. Zhumashev Z.
Coaches
Vasara V.	Curcic M.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Honka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tobol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Honka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Honka	2:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.07.23	SJK - Honka	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
05.07.23	Salon Palloilijat - Honka	1:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.07.23	Honka - HJK	1:1 ✺
27.06.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTW
- Tobol Kostanay
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Honka	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.07.23	Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
02.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
28.06.23	Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
24.06.23	Atyrau - Tobol Kostanay	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Honka	2:1

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