The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tobol Kostanay 56.3%
Draw 25%
Atyrau 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
30.5%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
29.2%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tobol Kostanay's performance.
Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atyrau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tobol Kostanay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atyrau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tobol will win (votes: 9 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tobol: 100% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tobol Kostanay will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Ustimenko D. (G) 17. Zuev A. 22. Marochkin A. 5. Ndiaye P. 3. Asrankulov R. 14. Talal A. 6. Myakish M. 19. Zhumat D. 10. Chesnokov I. 18. Milovanovic U. 30. Guerra L.
35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 5. Satanov S. 78. Khvalko E. 71. Prce F. 2. Tkachenko Y. 20. Boranshiev A. 4. Rabiu M. 17. Kalmuratov K. 14. Dorofeev K. 8. Stanic M. 18. Trufanov Y.
Substitutes
34. Bakhytkiriev S. 38. Bakitzhanov A. 25. Borsic A. 4. Cavnic N. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 56. Musaev E. 72. Senhadji R. 8. Tagybergen A. 50. Zhailaubayev A. 57. Zinadin A.
9. Abdulla A. 10. Dzhumatov R. 7. Henrique 99. Kereev B. 1. Khatkevich E. (G) 44. Maksimovic D. 15. Ofori E. 21. Orynbasar D. 90. Pantelic D. 11. Seytkaliev A. 23. Shaykhov B. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Romashchenko M.
Cheburin V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Milovanovic U. ⚽, Guerra L. (A),
45+2', Ndiaye P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dorofeev K. ↓, Maksimovic D. ↑,
46', Stanic M. ↓, Pantelic D. ↑,
46', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
56', Zhumat D. ↓, Tagybergen A. ↑,
57', Milovanovic U. ↓, Zhailaubayev A. ↑,
65', Khvalko E. 🟨,
67', Rabiu M. ↓, Henrique ↑,
76', Trufanov Y. ↓, Ofori E. ↑,
80', Kalmuratov K. 🟨,
81', Zuev A. ↓, Senhadji R. ↑,
83', Satanov S. 🟨,
87', Satanov S. 🟨,
90', Tkachenko Y. ↓, Orynbasar D. ↑,
90+6', Zhailaubayev A. ↓, Musaev E. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 1.
Recent performances by Tobol have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atyrau has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Tobol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tobol is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:3. (average 1.9:0.3).
Usa
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Ustimenko D. (G) 
Ndiaye P. 
Talal A. 
Myakish M. 
Milovanovic U. 
Guerra L. 
Prce F. 
Rabiu M. 
Dorofeev K. 
Stanic M. 
Cavnic N. 
Henrique 
Ofori E. 
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