Match Info

FINLAND: SUOMEN CUP - FINAL

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Tapiolan Urheilupuisto (Espoo)


	Honka		Ilves

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	2.1	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.01	3.2	4.05
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	1.97	3.32	3.94
	2.07	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)	3.18 ↑ (3.05)	3.69 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka
45.9%

Draw
29.1%

Ilves
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

29.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Honka - Ilves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudakov M. (C) 15. Arko-Mensah E. 4. Baak F. 13. Eremenko R. 23. Hernandez A. 11. Krebs F. 17. Laine L. 19. Lopez M. 26. Naamo D. 20. Rale M. 9. Wurtz J.	1. Virtanen O. (G) 15. Ala-Myllymaki L. 42. Aspegren F. 29. Haarala S. 7. James Ngor S. 3. Jorginho 22. Maenpaa A. 16. Miettunen T. (C) 30. Moussa Y. 13. N'Diaye S. 9. Parfitt-Williams D.
Substitutes
47. Aijala E. 24. Banahene N. 7. Bauque C. 8. Jansen K. 88. Koskinen O. 21. Koski V. 12. Paunio R. (G)	23. Hasa N. 19. Jukkola O. 5. Katz K. 14. Patut E. 27. Traore M. 4. Umar M. 12. Viitala J. (G)
Coaches
Vasara V.	Lehtonen J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honka won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Honka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ilves have a series of guest games.

Honka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Honka won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Honka won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.09.23	HJK - Honka	3:0 ✺
22.09.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	0:3 ✺
16.09.23	SJK - Honka	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	KTP Kotka - Honka	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Honka - Ilves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWW
- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.09.23	Ilves - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
22.09.23	KTP Kotka - Ilves	0:3 ✺
15.09.23	Haka - Ilves	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Lahti - Ilves	3:2 ✺
27.08.23	Honka - Ilves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.08.23	Honka - Ilves	2:0
11.06.23	Ilves - Honka	1:1
13.08.22	Ilves - Honka	0:4
20.05.22	Honka - Ilves	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
16.02.22	Ilves - Honka	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.09.21	Ilves - Honka	0:0
08.08.21	Honka - Ilves	4:1

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