Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Canvey Island

	1	X	2
	1.29	6.04	7.45
	1.3	6.04	7.45
	1.3	5	5.5
	1.26	5.4	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.46)	5.62 ↑ (4.45)	7.13 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
70.9%

Draw
16.3%

Canvey Island
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

20.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

19.4%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hornchurch's performance.

Canvey Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hornchurch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Hornchurch - Canvey Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 2.

Hornchurch is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Canvey Island is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hornchurch is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Hornchurch won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.12.23	Chatham Town - Hornchurch	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Hornchurch - Whitehawk	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Kingstonian - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
18.11.23	Hornchurch - Potters Bar Town	3:0 ✺
11.11.23	Cheshunt - Hornchurch	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWWW
- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.12.23	Canvey Island - Potters Bar Town	1:4 ✺
05.12.23	Horsham - Canvey Island	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Hashtag United - Canvey Island	3:1 ✺
28.11.23	Canvey Island - Chatham Town	3:2 ✺
25.11.23	Hastings United - Canvey Island	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.01.23	Hornchurch - Canvey Island	1:3
27.08.22	Canvey Island - Hornchurch	2:1
10.03.15	Hornchurch - Canvey Island	2:0
18.10.14	Canvey Island - Hornchurch	0:3
21.04.14	Canvey Island - Hornchurch	1:1
25.02.14	Hornchurch - Canvey Island	1:1

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