Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Canvey Island

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	7
	1.33	4.7	7.4
	1.31	5.06	7.76
	1.28	5.05	8.3
	1.33	4.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	4.85 ↑ (4.21)	7.57 ↑ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
69.2%

Draw
18.8%

Canvey Island
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

21.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20.5%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsham's performance.

Canvey Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Horsham - Canvey Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Meekums R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsham won 5.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Horsham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Horsham is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Horsham won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Horsham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.03.25	Cheshunt - Horsham	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Horsham - Hendon	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Bowers & Pitsea - Horsham	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Dartford - Horsham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL
- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.03.25	Canvey Island - Hendon	1:1 ✺
25.03.25	Hastings United - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Potters Bar Town - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Canvey Island - Lewes	4:0 ✺
08.03.25	Cray Wanderers - Canvey Island	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.12.24	Canvey Island - Horsham	0:1
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Canvey Island - Horsham	0:2
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.03.24	Canvey Island - Horsham	1:2
05.12.23	Horsham - Canvey Island	2:1
17.12.22	Horsham - Canvey Island	2:0
13.08.22	Canvey Island - Horsham	1:3

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