Match Info

National League South - Round 45

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.55	1.9
	3.89	4.32	1.81
	3.57	4.23	1.81	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.85
	3.82	3.9	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (4.23)	3.92 ↑ (3.91)	1.82 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
25.2%

Draw
23.7%

Hornchurch
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

23.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

23.3%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Chippenham Town - Hornchurch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chippenham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 0 - 1, Balanta A. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Hearn H. ⚽,
58', 0 - 3, Balanta A. ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Touray E. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Chippenham is Relegated to

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hornchurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hornchurch is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Chippenham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 4.23 are the expected chance of winning is 21.95%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
11.04.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Chippenham Town - Totton	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Bath City - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Chippenham Town - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Chippenham Town - Eastbourne Borough	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLLW
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
14.04.26	Hornchurch - Chelmsford City	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Hornchurch - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Maidstone United - Hornchurch	5:4 ✺
03.04.26	Hornchurch - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Farnborough - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.08.25	Hornchurch - Chippenham Town	3:0
26.04.25	Chippenham Town - Hornchurch	0:4
21.12.24	Hornchurch - Chippenham Town	1:2

Upcoming Matches