Match Info

National League - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hornchurch Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	10:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN Portugal
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	17:00	DAZN Turkiye
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
International	14:00	DAZN National League


	Hornchurch		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.50	2.15
	2.70	3.40	2.15
	2.95	3.40	2.20
	2.99	3.85	2.19
	2.96	3.64	2.19	Watch
	2.95	3.80	2.16
	2.90	3.54	2.12
	2.90	3.50	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.93)	3.58 ↓ (3.83)	2.17 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
31.8%

Draw
25.8%

Forest Green Rovers
42.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.3%

23.9%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

23.2%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hornchurch's performance.

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forest Green Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hornchurch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forest Green Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Hornchurch - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hornchurch will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Forest Green will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nasta A. (G) 12. Kizzi J. 3. Inniss R. 22. Edwards F. 19. Ling S. 18. Weston M. 8. Wraight T. 14. Pegrum C. 25. Bracking M. 7. Walker J. 9. Hearn H.	1. Ross E. (G) 20. Etaluku S. 6. Campbell T. 26. Mabete F. 5. Ajayi K. 4. Clarke J. 25. Kelly K. 7. McAllister K. (C) 27. Sass F. 29. Abrefa K. 10. Rees R.
Substitutes
13. Byrne R. (G) 6. Dallison T. 24. Kelman B. 4. Powell J. 26. Rowe A. 11. Sandat H. 17. Yearwood A.	17. Ewing O. 8. Haughton N. 15. Kircough G. 12. McNicholas L. (G) 9. Mellor D. 21. Mitchell K. 14. Patrick O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Rees R. ⚽, Etaluku S. (A),
20', Hearn H. 🟨,
25', Hearn H. ↓, Sandat H. ↑,
30', Walker J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pegrum C. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
46', Weston M. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
61', Clarke J. 🟨,
69', Bracking M. ↓, Yearwood A. ↑,
74', Sandat H. 🟨,
77', Rees R. ↓, Mitchell K. ↑,
77', Kelly K. ↓, Ewing O. ↑,
80', Walker J. ↓, Kelman B. ↑,
80', Edwards F. ↓, Poleon D. ↑,
85', Etaluku S. ↓, Kircough G. ↑,
90+3', Clarke J. ↓, Mellor D. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Forest Green could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Hornchurch	16	7	0	9	18:26	-8	21
15	Forest Green	13	5	3	5	21:22	-1	18

Outrights of English National League for now

Forest Green: 0.72% Hornchurch: 0.72%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League North
31.08.26	Boston United - Hornchurch	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Hornchurch - Woking	1:0 ✺
English National League
22.08.26	Carlisle United - Hornchurch	4:1 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Hornchurch - Norwich City U21	1:2 ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Barrow - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWLLW
- Forest Green Rovers
English National League North
31.08.26	Forest Green Rovers - Altrincham	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Fylde - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
English National League
22.08.26	Forest Green Rovers - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Worthing - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Forest Green Rovers - Halifax Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW

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