The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hornchurch 31.8%
Draw 25.8%
Forest Green Rovers 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.3%
23.9%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
21.8%
48.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hornchurch's performance.
Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forest Green Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hornchurch that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forest Green Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Hornchurch - Forest Green Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Hornchurch will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Forest Green will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nasta A. (G) 12. Kizzi J. 3. Inniss R. 22. Edwards F. 19. Ling S. 18. Weston M. 8. Wraight T. 14. Pegrum C. 25. Bracking M. 7. Walker J. 9. Hearn H.
1. Ross E. (G) 20. Etaluku S. 6. Campbell T. 26. Mabete F. 5. Ajayi K. 4. Clarke J. 25. Kelly K. 7. McAllister K. (C) 27. Sass F. 29. Abrefa K. 10. Rees R.
Substitutes
13. Byrne R. (G) 6. Dallison T. 24. Kelman B. 4. Powell J. 26. Rowe A. 11. Sandat H. 17. Yearwood A.
17. Ewing O. 8. Haughton N. 15. Kircough G. 12. McNicholas L. (G) 9. Mellor D. 21. Mitchell K. 14. Patrick O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Rees R. ⚽, Etaluku S. (A),
20', Hearn H. 🟨,
25', Hearn H. ↓, Sandat H. ↑,
30', Walker J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pegrum C. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
46', Weston M. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
61', Clarke J. 🟨,
69', Bracking M. ↓, Yearwood A. ↑,
74', Sandat H. 🟨,
77', Rees R. ↓, Mitchell K. ↑,
77', Kelly K. ↓, Ewing O. ↑,
80', Walker J. ↓, Kelman B. ↑,
80', Edwards F. ↓, Poleon D. ↑,
85', Etaluku S. ↓, Kircough G. ↑,
90+3', Clarke J. ↓, Mellor D. ↑,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Forest Green could have a small edge in this match.