Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Bowers & Pitsea

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	5
	1.51	4.1	5.2
	1.67	3.94	4.58
	1.61	3.9	4.74
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.62	3.72	4.72
	1.51	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.92)	3.97 ↑ (3.8)	4.99 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
58.7%

Draw
23%

Bowers & Pitsea
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

24.1%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

19.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsham's performance.

Bowers & Pitsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bowers & Pitsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Horsham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bowers & Pitsea than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bowers & Pitsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Horsham - Bowers & Pitsea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Brivio J. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Dickson C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
70', 3 - 0, Dickson C. ⚽,
81', 4 - 0, Fenelon S. ⚽,
87', 5 - 0, Meekums R. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsham won 2.

Recent matches Horsham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bowers & Pitsea is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Horsham will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Horsham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Horsham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.24	Horsham - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Horsham - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.24	Chatham Town - Horsham	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Horsham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLL
- Bowers & Pitsea FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.11.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Bowers & Pitsea	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Dover Athletic	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Billericay Town - Bowers & Pitsea	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Bognor Regis Town	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Hendon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.03.23	Horsham - Bowers & Pitsea	4:1
01.10.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Horsham	0:0
29.01.22	Horsham - Bowers & Pitsea	1:1
25.09.21	Bowers & Pitsea - Horsham	1:0
09.11.19	Horsham - Bowers & Pitsea	4:0

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