The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Horsham 33.8%
Draw 27.1%
Maidstone United 39.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.4%
25.8%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
25.8%
44.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maidstone United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maidstone United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Horsham - Maidstone United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Boateng N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Hester-Cook C. ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, Leahy T. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 17th and 1st in the Promotion - National League).
Horsham has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Maidstone has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Maidstone could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Horsham has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Maidstone holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Horsham has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:1 (averaging 1.8:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Horsham against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Maidstone
14
8
2
4
24:17
7
26
12
Horsham FC
14
4
7
3
16:16
0
19
Outrights of English National League South for now
Maidstone: 12.4% Horsham FC: 0.93%
Last Results with these Odds
Maidstone United - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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