Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Bognor Regis Town		Horsham

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.8	1.34
	8	5.4	1.27
	7.61	5.78	1.28
	8.03	5.61	1.27	Watch
	9.35	5.4	1.24
	8	5.4	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.87 ↑ (6.37)	5.4 ↑ (4.73)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
11.6%

Draw
16.9%

Horsham
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

19.3%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

18.9%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Horsham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Bognor Regis Town - Horsham Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Bognor Regis (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bognor Regis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Smith L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 1 - 1, Whyte H. (Own goal),
81', 1 - 2, Barker D. R. ⚽,
87', 1 - 3, Fenelon S. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Bognor Regis is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 1.

Recent matches Bognor Regis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Horsham in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Horsham is indisputable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:17 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bognor Regis won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.04.25	Wingate & Finchley - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Bognor Regis Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Whitehawk - Bognor Regis Town	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Bognor Regis Town - Dartford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLL
- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.25	Horsham - Cray Wanderers	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Horsham - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Cheshunt - Horsham	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Horsham - Hendon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.12.24	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	2:1
01.04.24	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	5:4
26.12.23	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	2:0
26.12.22	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	0:2
29.08.22	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	4:0
15.01.22	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	2:2
14.09.21	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	1:1

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