Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL Ligue - Round 18

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Communal (Mondercange)


	Mondercange		Hostert

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.55	1.84
	3.62	3.59	1.93
	3.55	3.64	1.88	Watch
	3.47	3.94	1.9
	3.65	3.55	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.03)	3.65 ↑ (3.39)	1.88 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mondercange
25.7%

Draw
25.2%

Hostert
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mondercange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hostert's recent form is better than expected.

Mondercange - Hostert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. da Silva T. (C) 9. Danhach D. 74. Drinka A. T. 22. Houelche L. 17. Konte A. 77. Loichot M. 5. Marasi L. 18. Robert T. 12. Silva V. 6. Swistek J. 40. Toure L.	16. Chiotti D. (G) 80. Avdusinovic K. 22. Bernardy L. 31. Derbali R. 17. Fernandes D. 26. Leroux M. 15. Letievant A. 10. Meddour H. 8. Thibault M. (C) 93. Tibor J. D. 6. Zilli Q.
Substitutes
45. Alilovic A. (G) 8. Amadei J. 13. Bah M. 23. Balde S. 26. Klapp R. 70. Rocha Fonseca Y. 11. Rodrigues N.	67. Ahmeti D. 37. Ales B. 44. Alverdi L. 97. Amehi K. 21. Fernandes D. 9. Quinol K. 1. Sardou T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Toure L. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Swistek J. ⚽, Danhach D. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Danhach D. ⚽, Toure L. (A),
41', Drinka A. T. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Toure L. (Own goal),
44', Marasi L. 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Zilli Q. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
46', Bernardy L. ↓, Alverdi L. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Alverdi L. ⚽,
64', Loichot M. ↓, Amadei J. ↑,
66', Avdusinovic K. ↓, Quinol K. ↑,
70', Thibault M. 🟨,
72', Toure L. ↓, Klapp R. ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Tibor J. D. ⚽, Fernandes D. (A),
77', 2 - 4, Fernandes D. ⚽,
82', Swistek J. ↓, Rocha Fonseca Y. ↑,
86', Fernandes D. ↓, Amehi K. ↑,
90+1', Leroux M. ↓, Ahmeti D. ↑,
90+3', Tibor J. D. 🟨,
90+3', Rocha Fonseca Y. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Mondercange could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hostert is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mondercange won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Mondercange won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mondercange
Luxembourg National Division
16.02.25	Swift Hesperange - Mondercange	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Mondorf-les-Bains - Mondercange	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Mondercange - F91 Dudelange	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Fola Esch - Mondercange	1:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
10.11.24	Mondercange - Wiltz 71	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 TWLLL
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
09.02.25	Swift Hesperange - Hostert	3:0 ✺
11.12.24	Hostert - Rodange	4:3 ✺
07.12.24	Pétange - Hostert	0:2 ✺
24.11.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Hostert	3:2 ✺
03.11.24	Hostert - Differdange 03	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
25.08.24	Hostert - Mondercange	2:1
02.04.23	Mondercange - Hostert	1:0
16.10.22	Hostert - Mondercange	0:0

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