Match Info

MLS

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Houston Dynamo		San Jose Earthquakes

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.20	5.00	Watch
	1.60	4.33	4.60
	1.64	4.20	4.50
	1.64	4.50	5.30
	1.65	4.29	4.69	Watch
	1.64	4.00	5.25
	1.63	4.72	4.91	Watch
	1.62	4.30	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)	4.32 ↑ (4.02)	4.88 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
58.4%

Draw
22%

San Jose Earthquakes
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

23.5%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

23.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Dynamo's performance.

San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Dynamo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Houston (1.74) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Houston Dynamo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 3 - 75%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 36. Felipe Andrade 3. Antonio Carlos 34. Resch A. 21. Negri F. 6. Artur (C) 19. Bogusz M. 8. McGlynn J. 16. Herrera H. 20. Guilherme 11. Ennali L.	1. Gunn A. (G) 5. Munie D. 4. Romney D. 18. Roberts R. 3. Marie P. 14. Vieira R. (C) 34. Leroux B. 2. Ricketts J. 10. Tsakiris N. 23. Lowen E. 7. Bouda O.
Substitutes
24. Aliyu I. 30. Bouzat A. 26. Gillingham B. (G) 14. Holmes D. 17. Markanich N. 23. McGuire D. 18. Samassekou D. 28. Sviatchenko E. 13. Vines S.	20. Fernandez N. 25. Floriani M. 6. Harkes I. 17. Jasinski J. 9. Jovanovic L. 19. Judd P. 31. Montali F. (G) 16. Skahan J. 87. Vitor Costa
Coaches
Olsen B.	Arena B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Roberts R. 🟨,
61', Negri F. ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
69', Romney D. ↓, Floriani M. ↑,
73', Marie P. ↓, Judd P. ↑,
73', Leroux B. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
75', Herrera H. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
82', Ricketts J. ↓, Jasinski J. ↑,
83', Felipe Andrade ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
90+1', Lowen E. ↓, Vitor Costa ↑,
90+1', McGlynn J. ↓, Bouzat A. ↑,
90+1', Tsakiris N. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.

Houston is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Jose is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Houston has had a series of away games.

In this match, Houston is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Houston: Lucas Halter (Yellow Cards) Maurer J. (Concussion)

There will not play in San Jose: Adimabua N. (Lower-Body Injury) Edwards E. (Lower-Body Injury) Jones D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kikanovic B. (Yellow Cards) Vieira R. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in San Jose: Werner T. (Injury)

We predict that Houston will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:28. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:12. (average 2.4:1.2).

Outrights of MLS for now

Houston Dynamo: 4.57% San Jose Earthquakes: 3.29%

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Dynamo - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.97%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
MLS
22.08.26	St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Houston Dynamo	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	New England Revolution - Houston Dynamo	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWWW
- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
22.08.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United	1:5 ✺
19.08.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - San Jose Earthquakes	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Cincinnati - San Jose Earthquakes	4:2 ✺
25.07.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
23.08.25	Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes	1:2
24.05.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo	3:3
17.07.24	San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo	0:1
30.03.24	Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1
21.06.23	Houston Dynamo - San Jose Earthquakes	4:1
01.04.23	San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo	2:1
17.07.22	San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo	1:2

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