Match Info

MLS

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	San Jose Earthquakes		St. Louis City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	3.25	Watch
	2.10	3.80	3.00
	2.14	3.70	3.00
	2.20	3.97	3.21
	2.13	4.05	2.97	Watch
	2.10	3.85	3.15
	2.09	4.32	3.13	Watch
	2.07	3.80	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.97)	3.91 ↑ (3.82)	3.1 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Earthquakes
45%

Draw
24.3%

St. Louis City
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

24.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 3 - 60%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gunn A. (C) 28. Kikanovic B. 5. Munie D. 18. Roberts R. 2. Ricketts J. 14. Vieira R. 34. Leroux B. 7. Bouda O. 10. Tsakiris N. 11. Werner T. 19. Judd P.	1. Burki R. (C) 5. MacNaughton L. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 6. Wallem C. 8. Durkin C. 24. Edelman D. 14. Totland T. 77. Jeong S. 10. Lowen E. 11. Becher S.
Substitutes
20. Fernandez N. 25. Floriani M. 6. Harkes I. 17. Jasinski J. 9. Jovanovic L. 3. Marie P. 31. Montali F. (G) 4. Romney D. 16. Skahan J.	29. Ault P. 27. Fall F. 19. Holse C. 59. Joyner M. 39. Lundt B. (G) 23. Matan A. 99. Orozco J. 7. Ostrak T. 20. Rafael Santos
Coaches
Arena B.	Damet Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Edelman D. ⚽, Wallem C. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Becher S. ⚽, Lowen E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tsakiris N. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
46', Kikanovic B. ↓, Jasinski J. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Leroux B. ⚽,
55', 1 - 3, Becher S. ⚽, Totland T. (A),
69', Lowen E. ↓, Holse C. ↑,
69', Jeong S. ↓, Matan A. ↑,
71', Bouda O. ↓, Skahan J. ↑,
71', Vieira R. ↓, Harkes I. ↑,
77', Wallem C. 🟨,
82', Roberts R. 🟨,
84', Totland T. 🟨,
89', Wallem C. ↓, Orozco J. ↑,
89', Becher S. ↓, Ault P. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1.

San Jose will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Outrights of MLS for now

St. Louis City: 3.85% San Jose Earthquakes: 3.29%

Last Results with these Odds

St. Louis City - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 28.15%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Earthquakes
MLS
01.08.26	Cincinnati - San Jose Earthquakes	4:2 ✺
25.07.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles Galaxy	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Orlando City	0:4 ✺
23.05.26	Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes	1:3 ✺
US Open Cup
20.05.26	Colorado Rapids - San Jose Earthquakes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWL
- St. Louis City SC
MLS
01.08.26	St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	St. Louis City - Colorado Rapids	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - St. Louis City	1:3 ✺
16.07.26	St. Louis City - Sporting Kansas City	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	St. Louis City - Austin FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
25.04.26	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	2:3
20.09.25	San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City	1:3
31.05.25	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1
21.09.24	San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City	1:2
03.07.24	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	2:0
24.06.23	San Jose Earthquakes - St. Louis City	1:2
18.03.23	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	3:0

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