The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Houston Dynamo 2 67.7%
Draw 17.9%
Sporting Kansas City II 14.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.5%
19.1%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
15%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Sporting Kansas City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Dynamo 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Kansas City II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Houston Dynamo 2 - Sporting Kansas City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
43. Kerimov R. (G) 14. Betancourt N. 23. Barrett D. 4. Ukaegbu C. 12. Silva V. 39. Mohammad S. 6. Rivera G. 17. Herrera D. 8. Gustavo Dohmann (C) 7. Brummett A. 33. Dimareli M.
45. Krysiewics B. (G) 42. Cunningham A. 35. Ferguson M. 41. Lurot P. 50. Worcester S. 48. Mabie B. 75. Loyo Reynaga Z. 44. Quintero G. 88. Donovan S. 37. Ikoba T. 96. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
16. Alan 9. Arthur Sousa 11. Bell J. 46. Cottle T. 35. Erb L. (G) 21. Gabriel William 44. Gardner M. 51. Gonzalez C. 15. Vitor Andre
47. Burns T. 87. Francka J. 70. Haas T. 91. Molinaro J. (G) 76. Ortiz J. 34. Russo D. 72. Wantland Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Loyo Reynaga Z. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
24', Ukaegbu C. 🟨,
27', Ikoba T. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Brummett A. ⚽, Rivera G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 2, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Donovan S. (A),
61', Ukaegbu C. ↓, Vitor Andre ↑,
61', Betancourt N. ↓, Gabriel William ↑,
68', Gabriel William 🟨,
73', 2 - 2, Brummett A. ⚽,
74', Brummett A. ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
74', Herrera D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
77', Donovan S. ↓, Haas T. ↑,
77', Worcester S. ↓, Russo D. ↑,
80', 🟨,
81', Loyo Reynaga Z. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
81', Quintero G. ↓, Burns T. ↑,
82', Gabriel William 🟨,
87', 2 - 3, Ikoba T. ⚽,
87', Kerimov R. 🟨,
90+2', Ikoba T. ↓, Wantland Z. ↑,
90+3', Dimareli M. ↓, Alan ↑,
Preview
Houston Dynamo 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo 2 won 4.
Houston Dynamo 2 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sporting KC II has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Sporting KC II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Houston Dynamo 2 enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dynamo 2 has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:19 (averaging 2.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Houston Dynamo 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:6 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
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Kerimov R. (G) 
Silva V. 
Lurot P. 
Bell J. 
Ortiz J. 
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