The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tacoma Defiance 59.7%
Draw 20.6%
Sporting Kansas City II 19.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
22.3%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
20.9%
20.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Sporting Kansas City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Tacoma Defiance - Sporting Kansas City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
50. Anchor M. (G) 40. O'Neill M. 53. Sandnes G. 58. Winslow J. 84. Gaffney C. 32. Gnaulati X. 34. Robles D. (C) 48. Phoenix C. 59. Bell M. 42. Jauregui R. 81. Bronnik M.
91. Molinaro J. (G) 42. Cunningham A. (C) 35. Ferguson M. 41. Lurot P. 50. Worcester S. 48. Mabie B. 88. Donovan S. 44. Quintero G. 70. Haas T. 77. Hines K. 96. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
80. Brown D. 30. Carli E. 63. Cisneros-Tafolla B. 43. Hassan O. 97. Kitafuji S. 99. Lucero L. 41. Shour M. (G) 67. Sugitani T.
54. Antongirolami L. 47. Burns T. 87. Francka J. 37. Ikoba T. 12. Kortkamp J. (G) 75. Loyo Reynaga Z. 76. Ortiz J. 34. Russo D. 72. Wantland Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Bronnik M. ⚽, Jauregui R. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Robles D. ⚽, Bell M. (A),
19', 3 - 0, Gnaulati X. ⚽, Jauregui R. (A),
36', Quintero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ferguson M. ↓, Antongirolami L. ↑,
48', 4 - 0, Bell M. ⚽, Bronnik M. (A),
59', Haas T. ↓, Loyo Reynaga Z. ↑,
59', Hines K. ↓, Ikoba T. ↑,
63', Bronnik M. ↓, Lucero L. ↑,
63', Bell M. ↓, Kitafuji S. ↑,
65', Robles D. 🟨,
73', Robles D. ↓, Cisneros-Tafolla B. ↑,
73', Cunningham A. ↓, Francka J. ↑,
78', Mabie B. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
84', Gaffney C. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
85', Phoenix C. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
89', Gnaulati X. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
90+2', Quintero G. ↓, Burns T. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Tacoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tacoma is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
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Anchor M. (G) 
O'Neill M. 
Phoenix C. 
Bell M. 
Lurot P. 
Kitafuji S. 
Ortiz J. 
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