The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 2 44%
Draw 25%
Houston Dynamo 2 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
25.2%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
24%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Houston Dynamo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
St. Louis City 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Welsh C. (G) 57. Jorgensen O. 66. Lillington Z. 3. Reid-Brown T. 33. Pearce T. 63. Clancy T. 28. Perez M. 48. Lynch R. 44. Wagoner J. (C) 49. Pickering N. 91. Zengue Z.
35. Erb L. (G) 23. Barrett D. 4. Ukaegbu C. 12. Silva V. 27. Miller R. 22. Arana M. 8. Gustavo Dohmann (C) 33. Dimareli M. 11. Bell J. 39. Mohammad S. 7. Brummett A.
Substitutes
62. Barclay J. 79. Chavez E. 83. Cornelius L. 68. Jundt A. 50. Martinez N. (G) 88. McDonald P. 85. Ota Y. 43. Paris S. 41. Pearson C.
16. Alan 9. Arthur Sousa 14. Betancourt N. 46. Cottle T. 44. Gardner M. 17. Herrera D. 24. Jiana M. 43. Kerimov R. (G) 15. Vitor Andre
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Brummett A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Reid-Brown T. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Perez M. (Own goal),
60', Brummett A. ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
61', Miller R. ↓, Vitor Andre ↑,
61', Wagoner J. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Pickering N. ⚽, Lynch R. (A),
72', Silva V. ↓, Betancourt N. ↑,
73', Dimareli M. ↓, Alan ↑,
76', Clancy T. ↓, McDonald P. ↑,
85', Arana M. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Lillington Z. ⚽,
86', Pearce T. ↓, Barclay J. ↑,
86', Pickering N. ↓, Ota Y. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Lillington Z. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Gustavo Dohmann (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pearson C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Bell J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Perez M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mohammad S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Zengue Z. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Arthur Sousa (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
St. Louis City 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Houston Dynamo 2 has had a series of home games.
St. Louis City 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
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Welsh C. (G) 
Silva V. 
Arana M. 
Bell J. 
Ota Y. 
Paris S. 
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