Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio CAP (Talcahuano)

Referee: Sepulveda J. (Chi)


	Huachipato		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.35
	1.68	4.08	5.11
	1.62	3.6	4.4
	1.66	3.98	4.9	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)	3.81 ↑ (3.67)	4.71 ↓ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huachipato
55.7%

Draw
24.5%

Curicó Unido
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Huachipato - Curicó Unido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 24. Guaiquil N. 5. Ramirez N. 4. Gazzolo B. 35. Loyola F. 20. Martinez J. A. 8. Montes G. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 29. Torres Gaete C. G. 15. Rodriguez M. 23. Martinez C.	12. Cerda F. (G) 4. Fiamengo D. 2. Merlo O. 3. Cahais M. 28. Cabrera S. 8. Sandoval M. 10. Leiva Y. 5. Nadruz A. 15. Zavala C. 20. Castro F. 29. Aliaga I.
Substitutes
21. Brea 2. Castillo A. 18. Gutierrez Jara J. I. 11. Magnin P. 13. Malanca R. 10. Palmezano B. 12. Parra M. (G)	16. Bechtholdt F. 27. Coelho D. 9. Figueroa T. 11. Flores J. 23. Lara K. 21. Ormazabal M. 30. Santelices L. (G)
Coaches
Alvarez G.	Ribera J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Huachipato is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Huachipato won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
12.08.23	Unión Española - Huachipato	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Huachipato - Coquimbo Unido	2:2 ✺
29.07.23	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	3:1 ✺
22.07.23	Huachipato - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
14.07.23	Cobresal - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLWL
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Primera Division
14.08.23	Universidad de Chile - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Curicó Unido - Unión La Calera	0:3 ✺
24.07.23	Audax Italiano - Curicó Unido	3:0 ✺
16.07.23	Curicó Unido - Universidad Católica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
11.03.23	Curicó Unido - Huachipato	1:3
02.07.22	Huachipato - Curicó Unido	2:2
07.02.22	Curicó Unido - Huachipato	4:0
04.10.21	Huachipato - Curicó Unido	1:4
09.05.21	Curicó Unido - Huachipato	2:2
17.12.20	Huachipato - Curicó Unido	1:0
02.03.20	Curicó Unido - Huachipato	1:0

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