The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Huachipato 33.3%
Draw 29.6%
Coquimbo Unido 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
29%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
28%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Huachipato - Coquimbo Unido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bravo C. (G) 9. Altamirano L. 10. Canete E. 5. Caroca R. 11. Figueroa J. 13. Malanca R. 23. Martinez C. (C) 15. Rodriguez M. 8. Silva S. 29. Torres Gaete C. G. 14. Vargas N.
1. Flores G. (G) 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 28. Cabrera S. 8. Camargo A. (C) 14. Cordero S. 5. Escobar D. 2. Gazzolo B. 4. Hernandez E. 18. Rodriguez P. 10. Vadala G. 15. Zavala C.
Substitutes
18. Ampuero B. 7. Briceno M. 22. Carcamo J. 49. Cruzat I. (G) 21. Herrera C. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 20. Toro C. 51. Torrejon M. 27. Velasquez L.
19. Arancibia J. 33. Chavez 21. Dorador C. (G) 6. Glaby D. 32. Julio 12. Pratto L. 17. Salinas F. 26. Soza L. 23. Zepeda M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Torres Gaete C. G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Malanca R. ↓, Toro C. ↑,
46', Figueroa J. ↓, Leon Munoz M. A. ↑,
46', Torres Gaete C. G. ↓, Velasquez L. ↑,
54', Hernandez E. ↓, Soza L. ↑,
64', Gazzolo B. ↓, Arancibia J. ↑,
65', Zavala C. ↓, Salinas F. ↑,
65', Rodriguez P. ↓, Glaby D. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Cordero S. ⚽, Vadala G. (A),
74', Canete E. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
76', Azocar Machuca A. E. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 1.
Huachipato has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Coquimbo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Huachipato - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Coquimbo Unido - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.83%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.