Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 4

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero (Talcahuano)


	Huachipato		Palestino

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.72	3.05	2.68	Watch
	3.49	3.24	2.22
	2.86	3.16	2.51	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.77	3.3	2.66	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.42)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	2.44 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Huachipato
32%

Draw
29.6%

Palestino
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.5%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huachipato's form might have worsened.

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palestino's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Huachipato - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Palestino will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huachipato: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Huachipato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Palestino (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Palestino (1.83) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Huachipato (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Palestino (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Odriozola R. (G) 14. Vargas N. 3. Mellado B. 5. Caroca R. 4. Castro J. 22. Carcamo J. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 8. Silva S. 30. Altez K. 15. Rodriguez M. 23. Martinez C. (C)	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (C) 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 16. Bizama J. 6. Meza F. 5. Fernandez J. 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 18. Gallegos S. 23. Leon J. 28. Zuniga D. 20. Tapia Paez G. 19. Da Silva N.
Substitutes
9. Altamirano L. 26. Antinirre H. 16. Arriagada L. 7. Briceno M. 10. Canete E. 13. Malanca R. 1. Mella S. (G) 6. Sepulveda C. 29. Torres Gaete C. G.	30. Alegria I. 11. Benitez J. 7. Carrasco B. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 13. Gomez A. 8. Meza N. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Munoz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Bizama J. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),
42', Da Silva N. 🟨,
45+1', Castro J. ↓, Antinirre H. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Carcamo J. ↓, Canete E. ↑,
53', Vargas N. 🟨,
53', Mellado B. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
53', Silva S. ↓, Sepulveda C. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Martinez C. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Leon J. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
68', Garguez Gomez I. A. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
68', Tapia Paez G. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
77', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,
79', Altez K. ↓, Altamirano L. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Altamirano L. ⚽,
87', Fernandez J. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
87', Gallegos S. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 0.

Recent performances by Huachipato have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palestino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Palestino could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Palestino	23	11	3	9	36:33	3	36
6	Huachipato	24	10	4	10	34:39	-5	34

Last Results with these Odds

Huachipato - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.81%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Palestino - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.68%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	Carabobo - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.02.26	Everton de Viña - Huachipato	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Huachipato - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Cobresal - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
Chilean Super Cup
20.01.26	Huachipato - Universidad Católica	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLL
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
13.02.26	Palestino - Universidad de Chile	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Coquimbo Unido - Palestino	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Palestino - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Palestino - Huachipato	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Deportes La Serena - Palestino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
05.12.25	Palestino - Huachipato	2:2
21.06.25	Huachipato - Palestino	2:2
29.08.24	Huachipato - Palestino	2:2
17.04.24	Palestino - Huachipato	2:0
14.09.23	Huachipato - Palestino	2:2
03.03.23	Palestino - Huachipato	2:1
05.11.22	Palestino - Huachipato	5:0

Upcoming Matches