Match Info
League Two - Round 16Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium (Guangzhou)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Guangdong Mingtu |
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Shenzhen |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
3.25 |
2.95 |
2.10 |
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 |
2.92 |
2.78 |
2.45 |
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 |
2.95 |
2.67 |
2.56 |
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3.28 |
3.12 |
2.16 |
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 |
2.85 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
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 |
2.99 |
2.71 |
2.51 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.42) |
2.81 ↓
(3.1) |
2.38 ↑
(2.17) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guangdong Mingtu
29.8% | Draw
32.2% | Shenzhen
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangdong Mingtu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Shenzhen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Mingtu than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shenzhen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
Shenzhen will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
14.  Li C. (G)
22. Fang H.
41. Li T.
36. Tan Zhennan
52. Zhong W.
16. Cai M. (C)
5. Jiang Yixiang
17. Wang Tanyou
10. Wen Y.
11. Xin Hongjun
42. He J.
| 43. Yuan J. (G)
45. Yuan Z.
11. Lu C.
55. Huang Keqi
4. Li Mingjie
47. Huang Z.
8. Chen W.
6. Luan Cheng (C)
49. Jiang W.
5. Hai J.
57. Wang Ziyang
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| Substitutes |
12. Chen Rijin
7. Gu Zhiwei
6. Huang Guangliang
9. Li Ming
2. Luo X.
39. Pang Jiajun (G)
33. Qu J.
8. Tian Li
50. Wu Z.
19. Ye Zimin
28. Zhang Zhihao
43. Zhu Xinyu
| 29. Deng Z.
1. Hao M. (G)
30. Hu H.
20. Li L.
10. Li P.
27. Liu Q.
9. Luo Kaisa
24. Pan N.
17. Shi Z.
28. Wang Zhiyuan
12. Yongsu Huang
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| Coaches |
 Sanabria A.
| Wang Baoshan
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 27', 0 - 1, Jiang W. ⚽, Luan Cheng (A),
- 30', 0 - 2, Huang Z. ⚽, Li Mingjie (A),
- 33', 1 - 2, Wang Tanyou ⚽, Tan Zhennan (A),
- 35', Fang H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Li T. ↓, Huang Guangliang ↑,
- 59', Jiang W. ↓, Wang Zhiyuan ↑,
- 59', Hai J. ↓, Luo Kaisa ↑,
- 59', Lu C. ↓, Yongsu Huang ↑,
- 60', He J. ↓, Zhu Xinyu ↑,
- 61', Jiang Yixiang 🟨,
- 69', Tan Zhennan ↓, Zhang Zhihao ↑,
- 69', Xin Hongjun ↓, Li Ming ↑,
- 69', Wen Y. ↓, Gu Zhiwei ↑,
- 70', Huang Z. ↓, Li P. ↑,
- 83', Wang Ziyang ↓, Li L. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Cai M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Li Mingjie 🟨,
- 86', Gu Zhiwei 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )).In recent matches, Guangdong Mingtu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Shenzhen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Shenzhen will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangdong Mingtu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Chinese Yi League | | | 25.04.26 | Shenzhen - Guangdong Mingtu | 3:1 | | 01.06.25 | Shenzhen - Guangdong Mingtu | 1:1 |
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